OKBET NBA Defensive Player of the Year Odds
Championships are won on OKBET NBA Defensive Player. The old saying may or may not be accurate in 2022, but consider this: defense wins money. Defense betting may not be glamorous, but winning bets are, so let’s be defensive at OKBET Basketball.
The NBA’s finest regular season defender is named Defensive Player of the Year (DPOY) by a panel of 124 voters. However, defense is notoriously tough to assess, so who do voters choose?
Looking at the past may teach us a lot about future prizes at OKBET NBA Defensive Player. Let’s create a historical Defensive Player of the Year profile by studying previous winners, then use our findings to choose who to back in 2022-23. Check out my analysis for Most Improved Player and Rookie of the Year as well.
Who will be named Defensive Player of the Year?
The following are the ten most recent DPOY winners:
- 2022 Celtics’ Marcus Smart
- 2021 Jazz, Rudy Gobert
- 2020 Bucks’ Giannis Antetokounmpo
- 2019 Jazz 2018, Rudy Gobert Jazz, Rudy Gobert
- 2017 Warriors’ Draymond Green
- Kawhi Leonard, Spurs, 2016
- Kawhi Leonard, Spurs, 2015
- Joakim Noah, Bulls, 2014
- 2013 Grizzlies’ Marc Gasol
The principles for forecasting DPOY aren’t as evident as they are for other accolades, but if we delve a little further, we can identify six underlying patterns at OKBET NBA Defensive Player.
- Repeat DPOY winners are popular with voters.
This one isn’t as well concealed. Gobert has won three of the previous five DPOYs, including a back-to-back with Leonard in the last decade. That turns out to be rather common on OKBET Basketball. Ten players have earned 26 of the 40 DPOYs awarded, almost two out of every three, with nine back-to-back winners.
Dikembe Mutombo is the only DPOY winner who has already won for another team. Leonard, Dwight Howard, Ben Wallace, and Dennis Rodman are among the notable defenders who moved clubs after DPOY and never won again.
- 2. The DPOY award is nearly usually given to a large guy.
Only ten perimeter players have won DPOY, accounting for less than a quarter of all winners. That suggests that 75% of DPOYs are large guys. Sidney Moncrief, a perimeter player, received the inaugural DPOY in 1983 at OKBET Basketball. He and Kawhi Leonard are the only perimeter players to win DPOY twice, while five of the first six awards went to players on the perimeter.
That implies that 29 of the previous 34 DPOYs were big guys, accounting for 85% of the total. Marcus Smart was a statistical outlier.
- Reputation is important, Part I: Young men do not win DPOY.
Without many accurate defensive data, it takes time for players to build the reputation required to win DPOY. Great defenders require time to be acknowledged as such. Over the last 25 years, Kawhi Leonard is the only player to earn DPOY in his first four NBA seasons. Even Leonard feels like he’s cheating after earning DPOY in 2015 after winning Finals MVP in 2014 at OKBET Basketball on OKBET NBA Defensive Player.
Year 5 has proven to be a lucky number for first-time DPOY winners such as Gobert, Draymond Green, Howard, Gasol, and Metta World Peace.
- Reputation is important, Part II: Previous DPOY voting is predictive.
Previous winners are more likely to win DPOY in the future, but it’s not just about winning. DPOY voting history is also important.
Prior to Smart’s unexpected victory, six successive DPOYs had placed first or second in the vote. That would essentially restrict the field to 10 on OKBET NBA Defensive Player: prior champions Smart, Gobert, Antetokounmpo, Green, and Leonard, as well as past runners-up Mikal Bridges, Ben Simmons, Anthony Davis, Joel Embiid, and LeBron James.
Every DPOY this century has gotten at least one DPOY vote before.
Furthermore, 17 of the past 20 DPOYs (85%) have previously garnered at least one first-place DPOY vote. Jaren Jackson Jr., Robert Williams, Bam Adebayo, Paul George, and Jrue Holiday are examples of notable players that meet this category won by the OKBET NBA Defensive Player.
Reputation is important, Part III: All-Defense voting is also predictive.
Marc Gasol is the only DPOY this century who has never been named to the All-Defense team before earning the most prestigious defensive honor. Only six players (15%) have ever achieved the feat of OKBET NBA Defensive Player.
Even more crucially, before winning, 11 of our past 15 DPOYs (73%) were named First-Team All-Defense. In fact, nine of the past fifteen (60%) did it the year before earning DPOY. In all, 13 of the past 15 DPOYs (87%) were All-Defense the year before they won DPOY.
Gobert, Antetokounmpo, Jackson, Smart, and Bridges were on last year’s First Team. Green, Adebayo, Williams, Holiday, and Matisse Thybulle made up the Second Team.
- The DPOY award is a team honor.
This might be the most significant pattern. DPOY is an individual honor, although it is given to a member of a great team defense.
Since 2008, every DPOY winner has finished in the top five in Defensive Rating according to Basketball Reference. Except for three DPOYs, all played on a top three DRTG team. That means there’s an 80% chance the DPOY will be awarded to one of just three teams at the conclusion of the season.
In the previous five seasons, the Utah Jazz have finished ninth, second, second, 13th, and fourth in Defensive Rating. Which of the three Goberts earned DPOY?
DPOY is a group award.
We’re searching for a big guy on a top three-to-five DRTG defense with past DPOY and All-Defense voting histories, ideally top-two and First-Team of OKBET NBA Defensive Player. Because reputation is everything, previous victors are invited to return, but young men are not.
Let’s look through the field now that we have a profile. We’ll start by eliminating a few alternatives based on our criteria, then consider a few long shots and our top six prospects moving into the new season.
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